Aurélien Goutsmedt

Position: Postdoctoral Researcher at UCLouvain and Assistant Professor at ICHEC Brussels

I’m a historian of economics and political economist studying how economic ideas, expertise, and policies have evolved since the 1970s—particularly during stagflation. My research focuses on central banks: how they produce, use, and debate economic knowledge. I also analyze the political economy of inflation, examining how competing narratives shape policy decisions. I develop open-source tools: network analysis and natural language processing softwares and apps, and open databases.

Research Projects

Publications

Delcey, Thomas, Aurélien Goutsmedt, Alexandre Truc. (2026). One Sentence at a Time: A Quantitative History of Rationality in Economic Thought. European Journal for the History of Economic Thought, Forthcoming. [Preprint]

Goutsmedt, Aurélien, Juan Carlos Acosta, Francesco Sergi. (2026). Economists, Economic Knowledge, and Central Banks. Cambridge (UK): Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Elements, Forthcoming 2026. [Preprint]

Sergi, Francesco, Béatrice Cherrier, Aurélien Saidi, Pedro Garcia Duarte, Aurélien Goutsmedt, Matthieu Renault, Juan Carlos Acosta. (2026). A History of Macroeconomics. Cambridge (UK): Cambridge University Press, Forthcoming 2026. [Preprint]

Chassonnery-Zaigouche, Cléo, Aurélien Goutsmedt. (2025). Modelling Intervention: Barbara Bergmann’s Micro-to-Macro Simulation Projects. European Journal for the History of Economic Thought, 32(3): 342–362. [Preprint]

Fontan, Clément, Aurélien Goutsmedt. (2025). Capital, Labor, and Technocratic Neutrality: The ECB and Inflation Monsters (2010–2025). Mouvements, 120(2): 24–33.

Goutsmedt, Aurélien, Clément Fontan. (2025). La BCE Face à Ses Monstres : Les Transformations Du Cadrage de La Stabilité Des Prix (1998-2023). Revue Française D’histoire Économique, 23. [Preprint]

Goutsmedt, Aurélien, Francesco Sergi. (2025). Redefining Scientization: Central Banks Between Science and Politics. Finance and Society, 11(2): 209–229. [Preprint]

Goutsmedt, Aurélien, Francesco Sergi, Béatrice Cherrier, François Claveau, Clément Fontan, Juan Acosta. (2025). To Change or Not to Change: The Evolution of Forecasting Models at the Bank of England. Journal of Economic Methodology, 32(2): 66–86. [Preprint]

Goutsmedt, Aurélien, Francesco Sergi, François Claveau, Clément Fontan. (2025). Not a Steamroller, a 3D Process: Scientization at the Bank of England. Finance and Society, 11(2): 231–252. [Preprint]

Acosta, Juan, Beatrice Cherrier, François Claveau, Clément Fontan, Aurélien Goutsmedt, Francesco Sergi. (2024). Six Decades of Economic Research at the Bank of England. History of Political Economy, 56(1): 1–40. [Preprint]

Goutsmedt, Aurélien, Clément Fontan. (2024). The ECB and the Inflation Monsters: Strategic Framing and the Responsibility Imperative (1998-2023). Journal of European Public Policy, 31(4): 999–1025. [Preprint]

Goutsmedt, Aurélien, Alexandre Truc. (2023). An Independent European Macroeconomics? A History of European Macroeconomics through the Lens of the European Economic Review. European Economic Review, 158. [Preprint]

Goutsmedt, Aurélien, François Claveau, Catherine Herfeld. (2023). Quantitative and Computational Approaches in the Social Studies of Economics. OEconomia - History, Methodology, Philosophy, 13(2): 147–161. [Preprint]

Goutsmedt, Aurélien. (2022). How the Phillips Curve Shaped Full Employment Policy in the 1970s: The Debates on the Humphrey-Hawkins Act. History of Political Economy, 54(2): 619–653. [Preprint]

Goutsmedt, Aurélien. (2021). From the Stagflation to the Great Inflation: Explaining the US Economy of the 1970s. Revue d’Economie Politique, 131(3): 557–582. [Preprint]

Goutsmedt, Aurélien, Matthieu Renault, Francesco Sergi. (2021). European Economics and the Early Years of the International Seminar on Macroeconomics. Revue d’Economie Politique, 131(4): 693–722. [Preprint]

Goutsmedt, Aurélien, Danielle Guizzo, Francesco Sergi. (2019). An Agenda without a Plan. Robert E. Lucas’s Trajectory through the Public Debate. OEconomia - History, Methodology, Philosophy, 9(2): 289–314. [Preprint]

Goutsmedt, Aurélien, Erich Pinzón-Fuchs, Matthieu Renault, Francesco Sergi. (2019). Reacting to the Lucas Critique: The Keynesians’ Pragmatic Replies. History of Political Economy, 51(3): 533–556. [Preprint]

Goutsmedt, Aurélien. (2018). Thomas Sargent Face à Robert Lucas : Une Autre Ambition Pour La Nouvelle Economie Classique. OEconomia - History, Methodology, Philosophy, 8(2): 211–241. [Preprint]

Goutsmedt, Aurélien, Goulven Rubin. (2018). Robert J. Gordon and the Introduction of the Natural Rate Hypothesis in the Keynesian Framework. History of Economic Ideas, 26(3): 157–187. [Preprint]